Like most people, tonight I'm busy building a shrine to the Mayan god Q'uq'umatz. So here's an end-of-the-world essay I published on Facebook three years ago:
I'm a pessimist, so I'm not really shocked by all the problems
of the world. And yet there's something not-quite-right about what's
going on now. I finally decided that it's not that the world's going
down the toilet that's worrying me, it's just that I didn't think it
would play out anything like this.
Swine Flu
Disease
is really not how I pictured civilization ending. A disease generated
amongst livestock as part of intensive farming techniques? That's just
not
homo sapiens style. Nuclear war, ill-advised genetic
manipulation, maybe even pissing off a powerful alien species — that's
the sort of thing I was expecting. Placing the products of wisdom in
the hands of the foolish or emotional: that's the humanity I know. But
dying of disease was more fitting for the Martians in
War of the Worlds
— not us. On the other hand, we're about to face millions of deaths
and we're more concerned that calling it "swine flu" will hurt pig
farmers; that
is an appropriately silly touch.
But it still
doesn't seem right. As a committed cynic, I always pictured that —
however we manage to screw ourselves — I'd be able to bitterly turn to
the person next to me and say, "told you so." As it stands, a Muslim or
Jew will say that to
me.
Pigs: okay, maybe they deserve it.
Did you know that after primates, marine mammals, and elephants, pigs
are the next most intelligent animals? So the fact that we eat them in
such numbers violates even our usual flimsy division between pets and
food. And sure, we forced them to live unnaturally in their own filth,
then made them the paragon of uncleanliness because they live in their
own filth, so there's plenty of poetic justice here. But I still would
have bet on killer bees or tsetse flies.
The Environment
As
a child looking into the future, it always seemed like the only way
we'd avoid environmental disaster would be to gain a new awareness of
our place in the world and our responsibility for the ecosystem and our
effect on it. That awareness seems to be an all-or-nothing proposition:
you either notice and do something, or ignore it and go on as you
always have. So I figured we would either achieve a hippyish love of
the earth, or run the planet into the ground. As it happens though,
we've found ourselves in a kind of in-between-state of awareness of the
problem and paralysis of action.
What kind of a state is that? We're
a race that's usually caught in either desperate action or defiant
ignorance. Easter Island is often held up as a microcosm of our
environmental predicament: they died out after destroying all the
forests on the island. They didn't just destroy some of the forest,
stop and say, "oops," then fade away in a slow decay. No, they died
like humans are supposed to — stubbornly cutting down every last tree.
But look at what we're doing now: we kind of realize we have to change,
but we're hemming and hawing trying to come up with a plan to change.
It's so...Canadian!
2012
If you haven't yet heard,
the story here is that the Mayans had a calendar that that ends in 2012,
which has led everyone with a new-age bone in their body to be
convinced that the world will end in 2012. Specifically, a few days
before Christmas — man those Mayans were jerks; I'm glad they
disappeared. That of course brings up the next obvious point: the
Mayans don't generally have a good record when it comes to seeing
disaster coming.
Is this the best we can do for an omen of doom? No explanation of
why
the world would end. No cryptic description of how it will happen, no
signs we can argue over. Just a date. There's nothing to this
end-of-the-world prediction except the end itself. It's the
Final Destination of apocalypses.
Back
in university, I tried to convince people that the world would end on
September 29, 1997, but at least I had misinterpreted bible verses to
back it up. Even Y2K had a story behind it, albeit a silly and poorly
understood one. This is just the Mayan calendar stopping without
explanation.
Now the fact is that I'm something of an expert on the
Mayan Long Count Calendar. Of course, I'm using the modern definition
of “expert,” meaning that I didn't
only read the Wikipedia entry,
I read a couple of other web pages too. It turns out that the Mayan
calendar doesn't really end in 2012 — that's just the date when this
creation exceeds the age of previous, imperfect creations. Even the
Mayans themselves didn't believe that would mean the end of the world.
That's a pretty flimsy justification even for a Hollywood blockbuster,
never mind for people actually getting worried.
Truth and Reason
I
don't want to get too wrapped up in the American health care debate.
Let's just agree that there are a lot of good arguments for each side.
But, well, that's kind of the problem: no one is actually using those
arguments, they're just yelling at each other. As if that's not enough,
most of what they're yelling isn't even true. Again, this isn't how I
imagined it.
I guess
1984 and
Brave New World ushered us towards a view of a future that was dystopian, but was at least an
organized
dystopia. The citizenry would be held in check by a system of lies,
but at least they were well-written lies told by professionals. I never
expected that disinformation would be coming in the form of a chain
e-mail from Aunt Jean who hasn't read a newspaper in thirty years. At
least it fits the human pattern: smart people develop something (here,
the Internet) then it gets mishandled by everyone else.
Add to that
another problem: for a while now, there's been an over-analysis of
politicians' everyday decisions. Everything from the President's choice
of beer to his jeans has been criticized. So it's now official, we're
living in 1984 in reverse, with the Proles spying on and lying to Big
Brother.
Finance
Whenever unusual things happen in
the financial world, I like to try to understand it by going back to
basic principles and looking at the big picture. Economics is really
just a system for allocating resources. So I try putting aside the
common terms and abstract ideas, and explaining it like I'm trying to
explain it to someone from another planet. For instance, when the price
of oil goes up, it's just the system telling us that more people are
using a fixed resource, so we're going to have to try to be more frugal
with it.
In the case of the housing collapse, it all comes down to
the system mistakenly devoting far too much of our resources to building
houses in the US. In a way, that's not surprising: as an apartment
dweller, I've noticed that people always go a little crazy when they buy
a house. Well apparently our whole society went a little bit crazy.
The last thing I need is another reason to hate suburbia, but now I can
see that it's not only destroyed our environment and our culture, but
our economy too.
One of the strangest parts of the financial crisis
is that it originated in the US, but they aren't even the hardest hit.
Who has been hurt worse? Eastern Europe and India. It hardly seems
fair that Americans go nuts trying to buy houses, and the people who
suffer the most can't afford houses. I guess the British were hurt too,
but if you've ever watched the British house-buying programs on HGTV,
then you have to agree there's some kind of real estate karma there.
But then there's Iceland; their economy was devastated and their
currency devalued. They ended up so poor they couldn't even afford to
keep their McDonald's outlets open. That's like being officially
demoted out of the First World.
The one group that might benefit are
the Chinese. Their economy hicupped when the Americans stopped buying,
but now they're moving again, with the Americans recovered enough that
they can afford the cheap crap the Chinese make, even if they're still
too nervous to buy the expensive stuff Americans or the Japanese make.
And now the Chinese — just when it seemed their world domination
couldn't get any more inevitable — will end up as America's largest
creditor.
And as an aside, let me say this: The Chinese make
terrible global villains. No crazy ideology they insist on spreading,
no vendetta against anyone, not even a wacky leader. Just people who
want to be middle class, and a government that has no aspiration beyond
staying in power. Again, so Canadian.
Perhaps more than anything, I
hate how this financial crisis has turned everyone's ideologies around.
Harper is running up a deficit, the Chinese government is actually
acting socialist, the Americans are nationalizing companies. I don't
even know who to root for anymore.